Vasco da Gama 0-3 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.9
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.68
X/2
15%
6.93
X/X
10%
4.34
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.31
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.47/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.26
+7% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
26.6 Crosses 18.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bragantino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 Bragantino 0-3 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
01.06.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR1
04.08.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
18.04.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
07.12.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
15.08.2023 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-3
AWAY Bragantino
1.22 xG 3.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 188
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 39
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino swept aside Vasco da Gama 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 60% of the ball to Bragantino's 40%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.22 to 3.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Bragantino?

Vasco da Gama 0-3 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 44%, draw 23%, Bragantino 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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