Bragantino 0-3 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.89
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.78
X/2
12%
7.04
X/X
11%
4.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.24
2/X
9%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.26/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.52
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.5 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 383
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR1
04.08.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
18.04.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
07.12.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
15.08.2023 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
21.01.2021 Bragantino 4-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-3
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.63 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
409 Passes 371
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama swept aside Bragantino 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bragantino had 52% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.63 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bragantino and 1.17 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama?

Bragantino 0-3 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 47%, draw 25%, Vasco da Gama 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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