Palmeiras 0-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
24%
4.13
X/2
9%
9.86
X/X
8%
4.9
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
9%
8.25
2/X
5%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.9pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
1.68/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.25
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.7 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.44 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 Passes 331
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 2-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
05.12.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
21.07.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.12.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
15.08.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
08.12.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.07 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 221
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Cruzeiro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Palmeiras at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Palmeiras had 52% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.07 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro?

Palmeiras 0-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 59%, draw 20%, Cruzeiro 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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