Stabaek 2-0 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.04
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
29%
2.31
6+ Goals
14%
4.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.5pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.81/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.27
+14% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kongsvinger
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
31.05.2025 Stabaek Stabaek 2-2 HT 2-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
21.10.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
04.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 3-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
27.08.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
30.05.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
2-0
AWAY Kongsvinger
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek got the better of Kongsvinger 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Stabaek made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stabaek had 42% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 58%, shots finished 18-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stabaek and 0.83 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Kongsvinger?

Stabaek 2-0 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 37%, draw 26%, Kongsvinger 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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