Tobacco Road 2-4 North Carolina II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
59%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
32%
-7.5pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.4pp
59%
Away Win
45%
+13.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.4pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina II EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.77/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.08
+14% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
308 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
2W-2D-2L
AWAY North Carolina II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.06.2025 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-3 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
25.05.2025 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-1 HT 0-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
04.07.2024 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
25.05.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 0-4 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2023 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-3 HT 1-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
18.06.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 3-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina II saw off Tobacco Road 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had North Carolina II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tobacco Road and 1.67 for North Carolina II.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II?

Tobacco Road 2-4 North Carolina II in the USA - USL League 2 on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II?

Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 24%, draw 17%, North Carolina II 59%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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