Tobacco Road 1-3 North Carolina II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 30 Jun 2025

📅30/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.43
No
36%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.2pp
36%
BTTS No
34%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina II EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.21/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.11
+40% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
2W-2D-2L
AWAY North Carolina II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
25.05.2025 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-1 HT 0-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
04.07.2024 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
25.05.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 0-4 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2023 North Carolina II North Carolina II 1-3 HT 1-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
18.06.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 3-0 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
09.07.2022 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 1-4 HT 0-1 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina II got the better of Tobacco Road 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had North Carolina II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tobacco Road and 1.83 for North Carolina II.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II?

Tobacco Road 1-3 North Carolina II in the USA - USL League 2 on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II?

Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 34%, draw 22%, North Carolina II 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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