Meizhou Hakka 0-4 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.53
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.75
1/2
6%
19.0
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
6%
9.99
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
4.62
X/X
10%
6.82
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.09
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · X/2 at 4.62 — our 21% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 60%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.93/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.20
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -19%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.2 Crosses 11.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
237 Passes 399
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-3 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
11.05.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-2 HT 0-2 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
12.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-1 HT 3-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
15.04.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
07.07.2022 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
17.06.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-2 HT 1-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0-4
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.40 xG 2.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
295 Passes 381
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan ran out comfortable winners over Meizhou Hakka 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 45% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 55%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.40 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.67 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan?

Meizhou Hakka 0-4 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 22%, draw 22%, Beijing Guoan 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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