Changchun YaTai 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.51
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
10%
6.36
X/2
9%
5.16
X/X
8%
4.73
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
19%
3.27
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.51 — our 24% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.80/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.13
-52% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.7 Crosses 16.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
19.10.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 4-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 5-0 HT 2-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
22.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 0-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
08.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
26.08.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.46 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
186 Passes 267
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 44% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 56%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.29 — on chances, Qingdao Jonoon could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Changchun YaTai 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 41%, draw 26%, Qingdao Jonoon 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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