Valentine Phoenix 2-4 Adamstown Rosebuds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
53%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
35%
-9.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
53%
Away Win
42%
+11.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 46%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.21/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/1.21
-22% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adamstown Rosebuds
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2025 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-2 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
03.08.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 3-0 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
09.03.2024 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
20.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
05.03.2023 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-1 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
12.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-2 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adamstown Rosebuds got the better of Valentine Phoenix 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Adamstown Rosebuds as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valentine Phoenix had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 1.33 for Adamstown Rosebuds.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Valentine Phoenix 2-4 Adamstown Rosebuds in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Adamstown Rosebuds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adamstown Rosebuds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 26%, draw 21%, Adamstown Rosebuds 53%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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