Honduras vs Curaçao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Honduras v Curaçao — Team-Based Signals
Honduras vs Curaçao Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Curaçao
CON
0-1
HT 0-1
Honduras
CON
0-1
HT 0-1
Curaçao
GK
Honduras 2-1 Curaçao — Actual Match Statistics
Honduras squeezed past Curaçao 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Honduras as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Honduras had 46% of the ball to Curaçao's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Curaçao led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Honduras and 1.00 for Curaçao.
What was the final score of Honduras vs Curaçao?
Honduras 2-1 Curaçao in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Honduras vs Curaçao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Honduras 41%, draw 32%, Curaçao 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honduras), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.