Kanada 2-0 El Salvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Gold Cup, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.45
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
23.3
X/1
18%
3.74
X/2
7%
22.0
X/X
10%
7.83
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
5%
20.45
2/X
4%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY El Salvador EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.61/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.43
+78% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +30%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
17.2 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
3W-2D-1L
AWAY El Salvador
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.10 xG 0.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2022 El Salvador El Salvador 0-2 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada DKE
09.09.2021 Kanada Kanada 3-0 HT 2-0 El Salvador El Salvador DKE
09.10.2017 El Salvador El Salvador 1-0 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada HAZ
07.09.2016 Kanada Kanada 3-1 HT 1-0 El Salvador El Salvador DKE
18.11.2015 El Salvador El Salvador 0-0 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada DKE
09.07.2015 El Salvador El Salvador 0-0 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
2-0
AWAY El Salvador
2.27 xG 0.41
80% Ball Possession 20%
14 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 1
427 Passes 72
90% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 3
31 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kanada vs El Salvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada beat El Salvador 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanada as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kanada had 80% of the ball to El Salvador's 20%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 2.27 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kanada had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kanada and 0.33 for El Salvador.

What was the final score of Kanada vs El Salvador?

Kanada 2-0 El Salvador in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs El Salvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kanada 63%, draw 21%, El Salvador 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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