Panama 4-1 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Gold Cup, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
5.29
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✓
35%
3.36
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
7%
4.74
X/2
7%
6.31
X/X
11%
3.9
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
5.17
2/X
7%
15.2
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.36 — our 35% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panama EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.27/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.33
+60% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.0 Crosses 14.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panama
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jamaika
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.24 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
418 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 Jamaika Jamaika 1-0 HT 1-0 Panama Panama CON
31.01.2022 Panama Panama 3-2 HT 1-1 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
06.09.2021 Jamaika Jamaika 0-3 HT 0-2 Panama Panama DKE
01.07.2019 Jamaika Jamaika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
03.09.2016 Panama Panama 2-0 HT 1-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
14.11.2015 Jamaika Jamaika 0-2 HT 0-1 Panama Panama DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panama
4-1
AWAY Jamaika
2.41 xG 2.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
509 Passes 240
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panama vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama swept aside Jamaika 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panama had 65% of the ball to Jamaika's 35%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 2.41 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panama had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Panama and 0.67 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of Panama vs Jamaika?

Panama 4-1 Jamaika in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panama vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Panama 49%, draw 25%, Jamaika 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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