Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.16/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.83
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +98%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katowice
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.15 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
335 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-0 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL
27.09.2024 Katowice Katowice 3-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
26.09.2018 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
1-0
AWAY Katowice
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin squeezed past Katowice 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 46% of the ball to Katowice's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.33 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice?

Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Katowice in the Friendlies on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 25%, Katowice 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
25 Jun 2025
00:00 Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock Analysis →
00:00 Karvina vs Prostejov Analysis →
00:00 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Legia Varşova Analysis →
12:00 Nieciecza vs Wisla Krakow Analysis →
12:00 FK Pardubice vs Skalica Analysis →
12:00 Olimpija Ljubljana vs MTK Budapest Analysis →