Al Nejmeh 1-0 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 25 Jun 2026

📅25/06/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.67
No
51%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
79%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.8pp
8%
Away Win
5%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
33%
+15.4pp
51%
BTTS No
67%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 8%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
3.51/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.96
+37% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -28%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Tadamon Sour
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
12.12.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
17.07.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 4-1 HT 0-1 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
21.06.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 5-1 HT 3-1 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
07.05.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
07.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-0 HT 0-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nejmeh
1-0
AWAY Tadamon Sour
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh squeezed past Tadamon Sour 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nejmeh as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Nejmeh had 65% of the ball to Tadamon Sour's 35%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nejmeh had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Nejmeh and 0.60 for Tadamon Sour.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour?

Al Nejmeh 1-0 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 25/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 69%, draw 23%, Tadamon Sour 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
25 Jun 2026
21:30 Al Hikma vs Al Mabarrah Analysis →