Boca Juniors vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boca Juniors v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Boca Juniors vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
LKU
2-1
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors
LKU
Boca Juniors 1-0 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Boca Juniors nicked a narrow win over Independiente Del Valle 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Boca Juniors had 37% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 63%, shots finished 5-5, expected goals 0.34 to 0.15.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.67 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Independiente Del Valle?
Boca Juniors 1-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 50%, draw 29%, Independiente Del Valle 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.