Almanya (K) 3-0 Avustralya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 25 Jul 2024

Almanya (K)
3-0 HT 1-0
Avustralya (K)
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Almanya (K) vs Avustralya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
12%
5.43
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
11%
7.61
2/X
7%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almanya (K) v Avustralya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Almanya (K) 3-0 Avustralya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almanya (K)
3-0
AWAY Avustralya (K)
2.22 xG 0.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
330 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almanya (K) vs Avustralya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) ran out comfortable winners over Avustralya (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Almanya (K) had 50% of the ball to Avustralya (K)'s 50%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.22 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Almanya (K) vs Avustralya (K)?

Almanya (K) 3-0 Avustralya (K) in the Olympics on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almanya (K) vs Avustralya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Almanya (K) 48%, draw 28%, Avustralya (K) 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OLY More Olympics
25 Jul 2024
18:00 İspanya (K) vs Japonya (K) Analysis →
18:00 Kanada (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K) Analysis →
20:00 Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K) Analysis →
22:00 Fransa (K) vs Kolombiya (K) Analysis →