Kanada (K) 2-1 Yeni Zelanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.53
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
4.2
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
24.0
X/1
16%
3.15
X/2
10%
17.2
X/X
13%
5.45
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
5%
16.4
2/X
3%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.8pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.76 xG 0.13
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
520 Passes 152
84% Pass Accuracy 55%
34 Box Touches 4
29 Crosses 7
15.06.2019 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) KDK
12.06.2015 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeni Zelanda (K) Yeni Zelanda (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
2-1
AWAY Yeni Zelanda (K)
1.93 xG 0.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
381 Passes 200
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
43 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) squeezed past Yeni Zelanda (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 61% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda (K)'s 39%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kanada (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kanada (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kanada (K) and 0.00 for Yeni Zelanda (K).

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Kanada (K) 2-1 Yeni Zelanda (K) in the Olympics on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 55%, draw 26%, Yeni Zelanda (K) 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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