Fransa (K) 3-2 Kolombiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.12 — our 26% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.59
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
3%
20.0
X/1
28%
3.59
X/2
7%
16.25
X/X
7%
7.68
2/1
7%
20.65
2/2
14%
12.0
2/X
10%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
463 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
13.06.2015 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) KDK
31.07.2012 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolombiya (K) Kolombiya (K) OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa (K)
3-2
AWAY Kolombiya (K)
0.97 xG 1.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
423 Passes 233
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Fransa (K) vs Kolombiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa (K) edged past Kolombiya (K) 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fransa (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fransa (K) had 61% of the ball to Kolombiya (K)'s 39%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.91 — on chances, Kolombiya (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fransa (K) and 1.00 for Kolombiya (K).

What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Fransa (K) 3-2 Kolombiya (K) in the Olympics on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs Kolombiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 56%, draw 20%, Kolombiya (K) 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
OLY More Olympics
25 Jul 2024
18:00 İspanya (K) vs Japonya (K) Analysis →
18:00 Kanada (K) vs Yeni Zelanda (K) Analysis →
20:00 Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K) Analysis →
20:00 Almanya (K) vs Avustralya (K) Analysis →