Hume City 4-1 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.85/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.55
-20% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Port Melbourne
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
194 Passes 430
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2025 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-3 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
08.06.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-3 HT 0-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
02.03.2024 Hume City Hume City 4-0 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
12.08.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
06.05.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
28.05.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City ran out comfortable winners over Port Melbourne 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hume City and 1.00 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Port Melbourne?

Hume City 4-1 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hume City 55%, draw 23%, Port Melbourne 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5
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