Degerfors 0-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
57%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
11%
9.49
X/2
24%
4.2
X/X
9%
5.31
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.15
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Djurgarden win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.11/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
-27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
20.2 Crosses 23.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.02 xG 1.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 462
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
06.07.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 5-1 HT 3-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
10.03.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
27.08.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-1 HT 3-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
30.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-1
AWAY Djurgarden
0.92 xG 1.53
11 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
437 Passes 320
31 Box Touches 22
33 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden nicked a narrow win over Degerfors 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.92 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Degerfors and 2.33 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Djurgarden?

Degerfors 0-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 23%, draw 20%, Djurgarden 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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