Kalmar 2-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.73
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.84
X/2
12%
5.7
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.0
2/2
22%
3.59
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +34%
1.19/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.38
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.6 Crosses 15.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mjallby
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.66 xG 1.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
450 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2026 Mjallby Mjallby 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇK
20.10.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 0-3 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.04.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 2-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
03.09.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.03.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
2-1
AWAY Mjallby
0.60 xG 0.27
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
339 Passes 425
26 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar squeezed past Mjallby 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Kalmar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.60 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kalmar and 1.83 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Mjallby?

Kalmar 2-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 36%, draw 24%, Mjallby 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjallby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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