Torpedo Zhodino 1-2 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2026 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-2 HT 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
26.10.2024 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
02.06.2024 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 4-2 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
07.05.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
21.06.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
28.02.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-3 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Zhodino
1-2
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Torpedo Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev squeezed past Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Zhodino at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.50 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Torpedo Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Torpedo Zhodino 1-2 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Zhodino 48%, draw 24%, Dnepr Mogilev 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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