Celta Vigo 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
18%
3.99
X/2
9%
11.5
X/X
7%
5.73
2/1
9%
21.8
2/2
13%
9.41
2/X
8%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.6pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.58/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.93
-22% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 200
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon HAZ
26.02.2017 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
21.09.2016 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1
10.04.2016 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
28.11.2015 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS1
30.03.2008 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
1-0
AWAY Sporting Gijon
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Sporting Gijon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celta Vigo and 0.67 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

Celta Vigo 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 52%, draw 20%, Sporting Gijon 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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