Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.17
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.51
X/2
7%
9.32
X/X
9%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.35
2/2
13%
6.64
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.29/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.88
-30% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
229 Passes 380
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
09.08.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 4-2 HT 2-2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
02.04.2016 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-2 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
17.10.2015 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
13.12.2014 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
03.08.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-3 HT 0-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus nicked a narrow win over Dynamo Dresden 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Dynamo Dresden carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 0.83 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus?

Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Energie Cottbus in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 55%, draw 21%, Energie Cottbus 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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