Truro City 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.85
6+ Goals
9%
8.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.3pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-12.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 62%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.94/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.14
+65% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
16.07.2025 Truro City Truro City 2-3 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle HAZ
09.07.2019 Truro City Truro City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
0-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle nicked a narrow win over Truro City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Plymouth Argyle as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Truro City and 1.50 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Truro City 0-1 Plymouth Argyle in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Truro City 23%, draw 31%, Plymouth Argyle 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Argyle), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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