Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.0
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.3
2-3 Goals
40%
2.59
4-5 Goals
28%
2.21
6+ Goals
17%
2.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
15.1
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
11%
9.49
X/2
11%
5.01
X/X
5%
8.81
2/1
4%
26.0
2/2
36%
2.06
2/X
9%
13.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 15.1 — our 9% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.6pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-16.3pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 59%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.73/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.51
-41% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
Crosses 15.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern Münih
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.13 xG 3.87
21% Ball Possession 79%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 15
0 Corners 7
185 Passes 847
76% Pass Accuracy 94%
5 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-3 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden edged past Bayern Münih 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern Münih carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih?

Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 Bayern Münih in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 26%, draw 18%, Bayern Münih 56%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern Münih) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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