Vancouver FC 1-0 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.09/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.10
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.2 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Cavalry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2026 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
18.10.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
18.08.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 5-4 HT 3-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
14.07.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
19.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
29.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
1-0
AWAY Cavalry
0.96 xG 1.24
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
416 Passes 304
24 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC edged past Cavalry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cavalry at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.96 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vancouver FC and 1.67 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Cavalry?

Vancouver FC 1-0 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 28%, draw 28%, Cavalry 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cavalry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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