Jaro 1-2 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
2.07/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.22
+19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KTP Kotka
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 Jaro Jaro 5-2 HT 4-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
13.05.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
18.09.2022 Jaro Jaro 4-2 HT 2-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINY
26.08.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
18.06.2022 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
08.11.2020 Jaro Jaro 2-3 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-2
AWAY KTP Kotka
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past Jaro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jaro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Jaro had 57% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 43%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Jaro and 2.00 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Jaro vs KTP Kotka?

Jaro 1-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaro 43%, draw 27%, KTP Kotka 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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