Mikkeli 1-2 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.11/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.75
-21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-1D-2L
AWAY SalPa Salo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-1 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
28.04.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 5-0 HT 3-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
13.08.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
04.06.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
1-2
AWAY SalPa Salo
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo squeezed past Mikkeli 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day SalPa Salo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Mikkeli had 44% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 56%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mikkeli and 1.75 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo?

Mikkeli 1-2 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mikkeli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 40%, draw 26%, SalPa Salo 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mikkeli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mikkeli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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