Charlotte Independence 4-0 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
52%
-15.5pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
1.76/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
+62% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.6 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.43 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
379 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
20.08.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
23.07.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
22.04.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
18.09.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-3 HT 0-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
30.07.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 4-0 HT 2-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
4-0
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
2.52 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
331 Passes 401
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 46
9 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence ran out comfortable winners over Central Valley Fuego 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Charlotte Independence made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 45% of the ball to Central Valley Fuego's 55%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 2.52 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Charlotte Independence and 0.67 for Central Valley Fuego.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego?

Charlotte Independence 4-0 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 37%, draw 32%, Central Valley Fuego 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ BTTS Yes
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