Fortaleza 0-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.53
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
10%
5.98
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
22%
4.38
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.42/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.30
-3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.0
18.0 Crosses 23.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.78
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
170 Passes 509
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 32
6 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
0-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.60 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
325 Passes 374
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 16
45 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Mirassol FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fortaleza had 49% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.60 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Mirassol FC?

Fortaleza 0-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 35%, draw 26%, Mirassol FC 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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