Juventude 1-3 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Aug 2025

Juventude
1-3 HT 1-1
Botafogo
📅25/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Juventude vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.93
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
7%
7.15
X/2
18%
4.33
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.77
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventude v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 50%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.83
+16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +86%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
20.9 Crosses 22.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Juventude vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botafogo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 2.01
44% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.04.2025 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
11.08.2024 Juventude Juventude 3-2 HT 2-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
22.04.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 5-1 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
21.08.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
01.05.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
12.04.2019 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BRK

Juventude 1-3 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-3
AWAY Botafogo
0.95 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
418 Passes 423
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo saw off Juventude 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 50% of the ball to Botafogo's 50%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.95 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Juventude and 2.17 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Botafogo?

Juventude 1-3 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventude 23%, draw 27%, Botafogo 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Under 2.5
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