AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.05
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.95
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.5
X/2
15%
5.35
X/X
8%
5.71
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
23%
3.0
2/X
4%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.95 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
1.44/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
11.3 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
321 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
01.11.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
15.03.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
15.12.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
23.04.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-4 HT 0-4 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
12.12.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0-1
AWAY Cambuur
2.02 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
319 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 51% of the ball to Cambuur's 49%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.85 — on chances, AZ Alkmaar II could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur?

AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 33%, draw 21%, Cambuur 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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