Utrecht II vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht II v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht II vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Utrecht II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Utrecht II
HOL2
Utrecht II 4-3 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht II edged past Ajax II 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Utrecht II had 45% of the ball to Ajax II's 55%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 3.17 to 2.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Utrecht II and 1.00 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Ajax II?
Utrecht II 4-3 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 27%, draw 24%, Ajax II 49%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax II) went the other way.