Ajax II 0-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
8%
7.05
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
20%
4.44
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.37/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.26
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
12.3 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
429 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
11.12.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 2-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
24.04.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
11.12.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
10.01.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
15.10.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 3-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-0
AWAY Utrecht II
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II and Utrecht II played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ajax II had 55% of the ball to Utrecht II's 45%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax II and 0.83 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs Utrecht II?

Ajax II 0-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 43%, draw 23%, Utrecht II 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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