Utrecht II vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht II v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht II vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Utrecht II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
Utrecht II
HOL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Ajax II
HOL2
Utrecht II 1-2 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax II squeezed past Utrecht II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Utrecht II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Utrecht II had 49% of the ball to Ajax II's 51%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.96 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Utrecht II.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Utrecht II and 1.00 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Ajax II?
Utrecht II 1-2 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 42%, draw 25%, Ajax II 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Utrecht II), BTTS No went the other way.