Volendam 3-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
6%
10.85
X/X
10%
6.35
2/1
7%
19.85
2/2
12%
8.05
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.98/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.41
+25% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.2 Crosses 16.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.26 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
468 Passes 291
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-3 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
25.02.2022 Volendam Volendam 4-1 HT 4-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.12.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
09.04.2021 Volendam Volendam 5-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
18.09.2020 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
31.01.2020 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.02 xG 2.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
346 Passes 403
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam beat Helmond Sport 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Volendam had 46% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 54%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 2.02 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Volendam and 1.00 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Helmond Sport?

Volendam 3-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Volendam 52%, draw 25%, Helmond Sport 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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