Cambuur 5-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.35
X/1
19%
3.89
X/2
9%
15.35
X/X
7%
7.37
2/1
5%
20.45
2/2
11%
12.55
2/X
6%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-13.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 16%
-15% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.14/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.67
-1% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.0 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.07 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
10.02.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-3 HT 2-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.01.2017 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
05.08.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.05.2012 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-3 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
5-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.20 xG 0.42
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
382 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur swept aside VVV-Venlo 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 62% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 38%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.20 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cambuur and 2.00 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo?

Cambuur 5-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 56%, draw 20%, VVV-Venlo 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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