VVV-Venlo 0-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.76
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.92
X/2
11%
5.53
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.42
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.20
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.7 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cambuur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 3-3 HT 2-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.01.2017 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
05.08.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.05.2012 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-3 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
10.05.2012 Cambuur Cambuur 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
0-1
AWAY Cambuur
0.99 xG 3.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
320 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur edged past VVV-Venlo 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Cambuur made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 48% of the ball to Cambuur's 52%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 0.99 to 3.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cambuur's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.50 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Cambuur?

VVV-Venlo 0-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 37%, draw 25%, Cambuur 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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