Dordrecht 3-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.34
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.81
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
8%
6.32
X/2
11%
5.86
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.37
2/X
4%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.36/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.16
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
15.7 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emmen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-2 HT 0-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
18.05.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
14.05.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
23.12.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.09.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-4 HT 1-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.04.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-0
AWAY Emmen
1.25 xG 0.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
212 Passes 317
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 14
5 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht swept aside Emmen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dordrecht found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Dordrecht had 43% of the ball to Emmen's 57%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dordrecht and 1.33 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Dordrecht 3-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 41%, draw 24%, Emmen 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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