Botafogo 2-3 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 25 Aug 2026

Botafogo
2 - 3 HT 0 - 2
Atletico Paranaense
📅25/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.18
2-3
47%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.6
6+
5%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.49
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.46
X/2
12%
6.24
X/X
18%
4.56
2/1 ✗
3%
27.5
2/2
18%
4.31
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 3% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Botafogo The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.03.2026 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-1 HT 2-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
05.10.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
20.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
22.10.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
04.06.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
01.06.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
REVIEW Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense nicked a narrow win over Botafogo 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

From a near-even 38% / 29% / 33% read, it was Atletico Paranaense who turned the coin-flip their way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Botafogo against 1.17 for Atletico Paranaense.

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Result & Final Score

Botafogo 2 - 3 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 38%, draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ BTTS Yes
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