Girona 0-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No OUR CALL
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
13%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
13%
3.88
X/2
11%
9.56
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
7%
7.67
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.88/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.30
+46% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.3 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.52 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
415 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Girona Girona 3-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
17.01.2024 Girona Girona 3-1 HT 3-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İSPK
11.11.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-2 HT 1-1 Girona Girona İS1
18.03.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-2 HT 2-1 Girona Girona İS1
29.12.2022 Girona Girona 2-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
15.01.2022 Girona Girona 1-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
0-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
2.01 xG 0.47
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
569 Passes 198
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Girona vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona and Rayo Vallecano fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Girona had 71% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 29%, shots finished 11-2, expected goals 2.01 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Girona and 1.33 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Girona vs Rayo Vallecano?

Girona 0-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Girona 54%, draw 24%, Rayo Vallecano 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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