1860 München 1-0 Hannover 96 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.41
X/2
9%
8.4
X/X
11%
5.23
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
14%
5.93
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 II EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.65/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-0
AWAY Hannover 96 II
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
201 Passes 212
64% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Hannover 96 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München squeezed past Hannover 96 II 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had 1860 München as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, 1860 München had 49% of the ball to Hannover 96 II's 51%, shots finished 19-18.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Hannover 96 II?

1860 München 1-0 Hannover 96 II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Hannover 96 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 42%, draw 27%, Hannover 96 II 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1860 München), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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