Verl 0-3 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Sep 2024

Verl
0-3 HT 0-2
Dynamo Dresden
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Verl vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.24
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 29% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.76
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
7.13
X/2
14%
4.82
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
19%
2.75
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Dynamo Dresden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.08
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
213 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses 22.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Verl vs Dynamo Dresden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
389 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
03.12.2023 Verl Verl 1-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
11.02.2023 Verl Verl 2-3 HT 1-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
10.08.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
04.05.2021 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
15.12.2020 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 4-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3

Verl 0-3 Dynamo Dresden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
0-3
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
550 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Verl vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden ran out comfortable winners over Verl 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Verl had 64% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 36%, shots finished 25-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Verl and 1.50 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Verl vs Dynamo Dresden?

Verl 0-3 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Verl 33%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ BTTS Yes
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