Saarbrücken 1-0 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 25 Sep 2024

Saarbrücken
1-0 HT 0-0
Viktoria Köln
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Saarbrücken vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
12%
4.0
X/2
9%
9.86
X/X
10%
5.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.2
2/2
11%
7.19
2/X
8%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saarbrücken v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
2.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.96
-12% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
27.1 Crosses 10.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Saarbrücken vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-5 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.08.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
20.01.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.02.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
11.09.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.03.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3

Saarbrücken 1-0 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1-0
AWAY Viktoria Köln
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
312 Passes 363
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken edged past Viktoria Köln 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 46% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 54%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.33 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Viktoria Köln?

Saarbrücken 1-0 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 50%, draw 23%, Viktoria Köln 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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