Genoa vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Genoa v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Genoa 3-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa got the better of Empoli 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 56% to 44% in Genoa's favour, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.97.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Genoa against 0.83 for Empoli.
Genoa vs Empoli Result & Final Score
Genoa 3 - 1 Empoli in the Italy - Cup on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Genoa vs Empoli Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Genoa 71%, draw 19%, Empoli 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.