Genoa 1-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 2 Mar 2025

Genoa
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Empoli
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.62
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.51
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
18%
4.39
6+
4%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.58
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.35
X/2
9%
8.4
X/X
19%
3.99
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
11%
7.1
2/X
5%
15.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Genoa The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.52 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Empoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.12.2024 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
03.02.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
02.12.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.03.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
05.11.2021 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
28.01.2019 Empoli Empoli 1-3 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
1 - 1
AWAY Empoli
0.30 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
307 Passes 151
75% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Genoa vs Empoli
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Genoa and Empoli with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Genoa at 48% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%) landed.

On the day, Genoa had 61% of the ball to Empoli's 39%, shots finished 4-7, expected goals 0.30 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genoa and 0.83 for Empoli.

Genoa vs Empoli Result & Final Score

Genoa 1 - 1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Genoa vs Empoli Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Genoa 48%, draw 30%, Empoli 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Genoa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
2 Mar 2025
14:30 Monza vs Torino Analysis →
17:00 Bologna vs Cagliari Analysis →
20:00 Roma vs Como Analysis →
22:45 Milan vs Lazio Analysis →