Milan 1-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 2 Mar 2025

Milan
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Lazio
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Milan vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.0
Over
54%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.68
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
24%
3.11
6+
6%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.87
1/2
2%
32.0
1/X
6%
11.9
X/1
16%
5.13
X/2
10%
7.29
X/X
17%
4.8
2/1 ✗
3%
23.85
2/2
14%
4.99
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Milan v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Milan The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Milan vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lazio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 Passes 362
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Lazio Lazio 2-2 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
01.03.2024 Lazio Lazio 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
30.09.2023 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
06.05.2023 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 2-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
24.01.2023 Lazio Lazio 4-0 HT 2-0 Milan Milan İTA
24.04.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-0 Milan Milan İTA

Milan 1-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1 - 2
AWAY Lazio
1.39 xG 3.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
472 Passes 292
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Milan vs Lazio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lazio shaded a tight game against Milan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Milan at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Milan had 61% of the ball to Lazio's 39%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.39 to 3.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lazio's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Milan and 1.17 for Lazio.

Milan vs Lazio Result & Final Score

Milan 1 - 2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Milan vs Lazio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Milan 46%, draw 28%, Lazio 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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