Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bologna v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bologna 2-1 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna nicked a narrow win over Cagliari 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Bologna's favour, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 2.15 to 0.55 — on chances created, Bologna won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Bologna against 0.83 for Cagliari.
Bologna vs Cagliari Result & Final Score
Bologna 2 - 1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bologna 57%, draw 26%, Cagliari 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.