New York City FC 0-4 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
31%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2
5%
23.85
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
10%
5.86
X/2
11%
6.3
X/X
10%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.55
2/2
22%
3.66
2/X
6%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.3pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.88/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.60
-6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.5 Crosses 13.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 Passes 512
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
21.09.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
31.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
11.11.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC HAZ
01.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.03.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
0-4
AWAY Inter Miami
1.14 xG 3.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 429
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami swept aside New York City FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Inter Miami made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, New York City FC had 48% of the ball to Inter Miami's 52%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.14 to 3.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New York City FC and 1.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Inter Miami?

New York City FC 0-4 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 38%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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